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Monthly Archives: October 2011

Three Potential Earnings Winners

October 14, 2011
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Three Potential Earnings Winners

As for the current market, I am growing more encouraged that the October 4 panic low represents a sustainable bottom. Now, that doesn’t mean it’s time to load up the truck; in fact, one of the things that few investors grasp is that a new bull move doesn’t start the day a bear move ends. Instead, there’s usually a transition phase of sorts when the market gets ready to make its move. Call it a bottoming out phase if you like. I think there’s a good chance that is happening now as, just on the face of it, most...

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Perception is Reality in the Market

October 13, 2011
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Perception is Reality in the Market

I want to write today about something we mention often but never really explain fully: The fact that the company is not the stock. Most people confuse the two—they see a firm with a new product that’s beating earnings estimates and assume it’s a good growth stock. No! It might be a good company, but that doesn’t mean it is (or will be) a good growth stock. The same thing goes in the other direction; just because a firm is losing money or has had troubles in the past doesn’t mean the stock can’t be a leader or at...

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A Stock for Bargain Shoppers

October 11, 2011
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As to today’s recommended stock, it begins with a story. Last Wednesday just before noon, as I was packing my car for the drive to the forum in Vermont, I was also fixing a door for my wife, grabbing a bite to eat, and packing some supplies to take to our son, the last child of the three still in college. In short, I was multi-tasking, which is not always the best way to get things done. And for the first time in my life, I left on a trip while leaving something big behind. But I didn’t know...

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What the Experts are Saying

October 10, 2011
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“Tim Geithner should be put in jail with Bernie Madoff.” “The United States is Canada’s Mexico.” “You should register your stocks in your own name, as protection against the time when the Internet crashes, and stock ownership records are lost. ” Those are just three of the unusual–and unusually candid–remarks I heard last week at the 49th annual Contrary Opinion Forum in Vergennes, Vermont. It was my 23rd year of attendance at the forum, and I was fortunate to meet many old and new friends there. But the heart of the forum is the talks by some of the...

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Be Brave to Expect the Crowd to be Wrong

October 8, 2011
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Be Brave to Expect the Crowd to be Wrong

Now for this week’s Contrary Opinion Button. Remember, you can always view all of the buttons by clicking here. Be Brave to Expect the Crowd to be Wrong A classic contrary sentiment. When the last fool in the crowd buys, the market tops; when the last fool in the crowd sells out in capitulation, the market bottoms. And it will always be so. Your job is to learn to recognize the actions of these fools and then lean the other way.

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