I am often asked how I determine whether the stock market is going to go up or go down during the next few weeks or months. No one knows for sure which direction the stock market is going to take, because there are too many variables that influence the stock market, and unforeseen events can negate the best research and analysis. While I cannot predict what the stock market will do next, I know I can enhance my investment performance if I invest more conservatively when the stock market is high, and aggressively take advantage of bargains when the...