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VisionChina Media (VISN): A High-Potential Stock

by Paul Goodwin
January 15th, 2010 · No Comments · Cabot, China, Earnings, Emerging Markets, Investing, Stocks

My investment idea today is VisionChina Media (VISN), a Chinese company that has over 82,000 video screens in buses and subway trains in 18 Chinese cities.  What really sets its product apart from other out-of-home Chinese advertisers like Focus Media is that the broadcasts are digital, real-time programming that can be customized to show either local or national weather, sports and breaking stories.

CEMbest12-1BBecause content is local and fresh, viewership is increased, which allows VisionChina to charge for advertising time just like a broadcast TV station.  The company forges alliances with local broadcast stations to supply content.

Financial results have been outstanding, especially for a company founded just in 2005.  2007 sales were up 659% over 2006, and 2008’s gain hit 254%.  Earnings turned positive in Q2 2007 and year-over-year growth has fallen in the last couple of quarters only because Q2 and Q3 2008 gains were insanely huge.  After revenue of $104 million in 2008, analysts expect 2009 sales to hit $122 million with earnings of 37 cents a share.

VISN has been trading sideways since the beginning of December, which has created a nice base for further advances.  The stock is a little too low-priced for inclusion in the Cabot China & Emerging Markets Report, but buying on any breakout above 12 should prove profitable, as that will bring the stock into range of the institutional investors who actually move the market.

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