I am far from an economist, thank goodness, but with all the worry during the past week about the economic recovery coming unglued, I wanted to inject some facts (gasp!) into the conversation. Twice before in Cabot Wealth Advisory I’ve touched on the lone economic indicator I follow regularly–the Economic Cycle Research Institute’s (ECRI) Weekly Leading Index. In brief, ECRI has a good track record of economic forecasting, and I like the group because they approach their task much as I approach mine–by using tools that have actually worked in the past. In ECRI’s case, they looked at decades...