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Monthly Archives: February 2009

Investor Perceptions: How to Spot a Has-Been Stock

February 3, 2009
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Investor Perceptions: How to Spot a Has-Been Stock

One of the hardest concepts for individual investors to grasp is the idea that the stock does not represent the company.  In fact, the stock represents investors’ PERCEPTIONS of the company.  If investors think a company’s future is bright, even though it is not yet a big success, they’ll pay a premium for their expectations–pushing the stock up in the process.  Contrarily, if investors perceive that a company is becoming less successful, or simply growing less rapidly, its premium will shrink.  In the worst cases, the stock will decline, even though the company is still growing! For example, Intuitive...

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Tax Credits Sound Good, But …

February 2, 2009
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Now, time for a rant. I rarely ever delve into the murky, stinky waters of politics here, and really, I’m not going to start now.  If you’ve listened to the news, you probably know about the good and bad of the $800 billion (and growing) stimulus package that will soon be taken up in the Senate.  I’m actually optimistic that the Senate–the chamber where swiftly passed bills in the House come under closer scrutiny–will be able to pass a workable, bi-partisan bill.  Let’s keep our fingers crossed. However, my rant today is based on policies that have been adopted...

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Multi-Fineline Electronix: A Flexible Flyer

February 2, 2009
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Multi-Fineline Electronix: A Flexible Flyer

My investment idea for today is a stock that used to be in the portfolio of the Cabot China & Emerging Markets Report before it fell off the earnings wagon.  It’s Multi-Fineline Electronix (MFLX), a company with headquarters and R&D facilities in California, and manufacturing in China and Malaysia.  The company’s specialty is flexible circuits, the kind that connect the two halves of clamshell cell phones.  Multi-Fineline’s circuits are also found in hand-held scanners, and an increasing number of small electronic devices.  By putting a high density of features on a thin, flexible substrate, the company’s circuits allow devices...

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