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Daily Archives: December 11, 2008

My Social Security (Partial) Solution

December 11, 2008
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On Tuesday, the U.S. Treasury offered billions of dollars of four-week bills at an interest rate of 0% … and that issue was oversubscribed by a factor of four!  Three-month bills are currently yielding about 0.01%, the lowest level since 1929, when they were initially offered.  And long-term rates are hovering around 3%, some of the lowest levels in decades. These super-low rates me got brainstorming, and since everyone else is offering out-of-the-box ideas with regards to the economy, I thought I’d chime in with one that, in my view, makes a lot of sense.  I won’t spend too...

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The Great Shrinkage Seen Through My Crystal Ball

December 11, 2008
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Back on September 11 of this year, a few days after the U.S. government took over Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, I looked into my crystal ball and wrote the following. “I think the housing industry peaked in 2006 and that it will be a VERY long time before that peak is exceeded. “In my mind, just as the failure of the sub-prime market triggered the collapse of the housing industry, the collapse of the housing industry will trigger the deflation of our debt bubble.  Eventually, if all goes well, the end result will be a smaller debt load...

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